Iowa St/Baylor Under 47 (-110)
Another Big12 matchup in the blog today as the Cyclones head to Waco to face of with the Baylor Bears. Iowa St unders have gone 4-2 so far this season and the 47 pts in this one is the 3rd highest total set in those matchups.
Neither offense has been very scary with almost identical pts/game numbers:
Iowa St: 21.8 pts/game (ranked 99th)
Baylor: 22 pts/game (ranked 97th)
Both also rank outside the top 70 in the below offensive categories:
Yds/play
Iowa St: 5.3 (ranked 79th)
Baylor: 5.3 (ranked 74th)
3rd Down %
Iowa St: 32.97% (ranked 107th)
Baylor: 37.63% (ranked 78th)
While Baylor is a heavy passing team throwing 57.40% of the time (ranked 13th) I like the Iowa St secondary to slow them down. Check out this Iowa St defense against the pass:
Iowa St Defense
OPP Completion % - 54.85% (ranked 12th)
OPP Yds/pass - 5.9 (ranked 12th)
OPP INT % - 4.85% (ranked 7th)
Baylor's Redzone play should also lead to a lack of scores, they are one of the worst FBS teams in Redzone Scoring - 70.37% (ranked 123rd) while their defense maintains an OPP Redzone Scoring % of 76.00% (ranked 27th).
Iowa St plays a slow defensive game in general and I think they should do enough to contain the Baylor offense keeping the total under 47.
Go Defense!
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