Iowa St Vs Baylor (Under 47)

Iowa St/Baylor Under 47 (-110)

Another Big12 matchup in the blog today as the Cyclones head to Waco to face of with the Baylor Bears. Iowa St unders have gone 4-2 so far this season and the 47 pts in this one is the 3rd highest total set in those matchups.

Neither offense has been very scary with almost identical pts/game numbers:

Iowa St: 21.8 pts/game (ranked 99th)

Baylor: 22 pts/game (ranked 97th)

Both also rank outside the top 70 in the below offensive categories:

Yds/play

Iowa St: 5.3 (ranked 79th)

Baylor: 5.3 (ranked 74th)

3rd Down %

Iowa St: 32.97% (ranked 107th)

Baylor: 37.63% (ranked 78th)

While Baylor is a heavy passing team throwing 57.40% of the time (ranked 13th) I like the Iowa St secondary to slow them down. Check out this Iowa St defense against the pass:

Iowa St Defense

OPP Completion % - 54.85% (ranked 12th)

OPP Yds/pass - 5.9 (ranked 12th)

OPP INT % - 4.85% (ranked 7th)

Baylor's Redzone play should also lead to a lack of scores, they are one of the worst FBS teams in Redzone Scoring - 70.37% (ranked 123rd) while their defense maintains an OPP Redzone Scoring % of 76.00% (ranked 27th).

Iowa St plays a slow defensive game in general and I think they should do enough to contain the Baylor offense keeping the total under 47.

Go Defense!